THE STATE OF THE INDUSTRY REPORT

21 May 2000


Natives is pleased to deliver its end of season report on the State of the Industry.

The Countries
North America finished around 7% down - a result greeted within the industry as 'not so bad'.

Europe does not seem to have fared so badly. Provisional figures indicate growth in Switzerland of around 6%, with both France and Austria sounding cautiously positive.

Italy did not have a good year however. Total numbers are reported to have fallen by over 30% as the Italian economy has suffered and inbound skiers have upgraded to France and Austria. The boom years of the early Nineties probably won't be back now until the next recession (next season?!?).

The Operators
Early season bookings were disastrous for most British tour operators. Although as bad as 30% down during the summer this gradually improved as the season went on.

By October we were reporting an 'improvement' to just 18% down, but it was only once the snow had fallen and the Millennium was out the way that the industry showed a remarkable recovery.

Millennium Bug
According to Louise Newton from Crystal Holidays, 'the Millennium was diabolical, nobody went anywhere.'

The Millennium factor definitely affected sales, something predicted as early as August by Natives. In most cases over-optimistic pricing was a key factor and many operators would love the chance to go back and set their prices again.

As it was, very few operators were able to sell at brochure price and some painfully heavy discounting helped fill the remaining beds.

The lost week caused by Christmas Day and New Year's Day falling on a Saturday also caused problems for operators.

Rupert Hatfield from Simply Ski explained: 'We lost a whole week at the beginning of the season and had to play catch up from then.'

Strong End of Season
After a very healthy mid and late-season operators were delighted as numbers picked up significantly.

Laurence Hicks from Inghams was very satisfied with the winter's results. 'We ended up increasing sales by 8-9%, thanks to our strong positioning in the market.'

Joyce Davidson from Lotus Supertravel also reported a very successful season, with sales up 20%. 'We had strong bookings from the very beginning, were fully booked across the Millennium and rarely needed to discount,' Joyce told us.

The strong snow at the end of the season certainly benefited operators.

Louise Newton again: 'We were the only tour operator with chartered flights through to May, so we were able to take advantage of the late season sales. We still had people travelling out on May 13!'

Predictions for 2000/2001
Most operators expect small to reasonable growth, with a trend towards booking over the Internet. Both Inghams and Crystal have already introduced online booking.

Crystal have already recorded good early season sales for 2001 and expect growth of about 10%.

Supertravel expect growth to continue for 2000/01 as well. Killington and Boston stopovers have been added with 'early bookings already looking strong.'

Rupert Hatfield is another looking forward to an increase in sales, possibly boosted by the introduction of a new resort. 'I can't comment,' said Rupert, 'We're keeping that under wraps until our new brochure comes out towards the end of June.'

Ultimately growth in the industry will always be limited by the number of new skiers and riders attracted to the sport. Laurence Hicks sees this as the barrier to longer term growth. 'The new snowdomes opening in the UK may help increase numbers but the massive fall in the schools market has not helped our industry.'

Then again, fewer Billys on the slopes? Maybe it's not so bad after all: The State of the Industry is GOOD!

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